|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
I often become bewildered when I hear of people bragging, because they have high strike rates and/or high profit-on-turnover figures (POT). You know the 'my strike rate on the Soccer is 73%' or 'my POT on the gallops is 90%'.
Yes, OK, congratulations. Give yourself a pat on the back; you are making money. Well, actually, if your strike rate on the Soccer was 73%, this certainly does not guarantee that you are showing a profit. After all, the goal is to back plenty of winners, isn't it? Well, yes and no.
Is the goal to simply make money, or is it to make as much money as we can, given our current resources (time, starting bank, knowledge, etc.)? I realize that it sounds like I am being a little greedy, but come on, admit it, we all want great, big, fat, consistent profits from our betting, don't we?
I truly believe, that many punters think, that this punting game is a competition, where plaques, certificates and smiley faces are awarded to those with the best win strike rates and profit on turnover figures.
Yes, before you wipe your writing pad out to type me a letter of disgust at my arrogance, I admit that I am being a little hard-lined on this one.
I mean, really, WHO CARES if you have a POT of 30%, 60% or even more?
WHO CARES how many winning teams you backed, or how many horses you backed, which were first past the post?
It seems to me, that many punters seem to turn a blind eye to one and only real measure of how well you performed . . .
How Much Money Did You Make?
Maybe I am the odd one out, but every time I hear somebody spruiking, that they make an excessive POT of say 20% or more, the first thought that pops into my head is certainly not, 'Gee, that bloke really must know what he is doing, what a legend!', but more along the lines of;
How Much Money COULD He Have Made?
If you achieve high POT figures, you are telling me three things:
1. You have had, maybe, a couple of dozen bets at most,
2. You are way too selective with your selections, but most importantly,
3. You are not making as much money as you could be.
Whenever I try to explain this to a punter down at the pub, they think I am totally insane.
"What Do You Bloody Mean That I Could Be Doing Better? You Tell Me How Many Other Punters Can Achieve 90% POT?"
Generally, that is what I hear, when I open my mouth about this subject. Look, missing a good bet is as bad as making a bad bet. There is little excuse for either. We all do both, but hopefully we don't make that same mistakes twice.
For those who disagree, I ask the following:
Tell me why I should turn my back on a positive expectation bet, regardless of the return? Maybe I should not make the bet, because I may damage my strike rate, or may lower my POT, and as a result, won't sound as good when I brag to my mates. RUBBISH! There is no such thing as the gambling Olympics; you are not going to get an award for having the best POT figures or strike rates. I shall repeat this once more.
The Aim Of The Game Is To MAKE MONEY.
If you are achieving an average return on each bet of more than 20% or 30%, I believe you need to rework your approach, and do a little work to get that POT back down a little by making the smaller positive expectation bets. Yes, bring your POT down! How many good bets do you think you are missing, if you wait all year, and make only 12 bets, but you have 80% POT? You are making money on those 12 bets only. OK, fair enough, you may make those bets quite large in relation to your bankroll, but bear in mind, you may be able to make two, three, ten or even more times the amount you are making now by taking those smaller edges.
The article . . .'The difference between your edge and your expectation'at www.puntingace.com follows on from this concept. Reading this one article may make $1,000's of dollars of difference to your bottom line over the course of a year.
Remember, it is not how many winners you back, but how much money you make. Leave the bragging and high turnover figures to the 'heroes'.
Australians Matt Elliott and Jess Kirley of http://www.puntingace.com , have been investing together professionally on sports for over 3 years now. They take a very mathematical approach to their betting, and liken it more trading a commosity like stocks than actual gambling. They continue to lead the industry with innovative approaches to sports betting and their reputation among their peers is a testinmony to that. Visit http://www.puntingace.com to discover how you too can turn your hobby of betting into a profitable endeavour.
Three card Poker is a fast paced game which is... Read More
Stu Ungar is considered by most to the greatest No... Read More
Counting cards in blackjack is a way to increase your... Read More
Over the past five years addictions to gambling have grown... Read More
The general idea of both land-based gambling as well as... Read More
Welcome to the third in my Texas Holdem Strategy Series,... Read More
A successful Texas hold em player is one who maximizes... Read More
But, in the college ranks, you see those types of... Read More
A trip that will always be remembered is the one... Read More
Gambling is the act of wagering money on the outcome... Read More
It is in one's best interest to know all your... Read More
The first and most important step is to take notes.... Read More
In casino gambling, sometimes even the most knowledgable players turn... Read More
The word class, used by handicapper is no abstraction. The... Read More
The following are guidelines only and although they are intended... Read More
Poker tournaments are often not epic confrontations between two premium... Read More
Roulette is actually one of the simplest games in the... Read More
The coming age has brought with it numerous new pathological... Read More
1. Always play with money you can afford to lose.Let's... Read More
Video poker is usually played against a machine, which displays... Read More
Everything was going perfect for me in life. Good job,... Read More
Pssst...! Wanna know a secret?How about the secret of Martingale... Read More
How To Extend Your Stay & Play At A Casino... Read More
Roulette is the third most popular casino game worldwide, after... Read More
First if you are tired, angry, drunk or your condition... Read More
Poker's new upsurge in popularity in is due to televised... Read More
Holdem poker is taking the country by storm as one... Read More
In the Bond film 'Diamonds Are Forever' we see James... Read More
TRAVEL- The following is my penny pinchers guide to Las... Read More
It doesn't matter whether you are the husband, wife, partner,... Read More
Texas hold'em is the most popular of the community card... Read More
Coin in - spin - hold your breath......Watch those symbols.....Will... Read More
Casino gambling is often played with a gambling strategy in... Read More
Let's face it; bingo is hardly going to arouse a... Read More
Whether your new to the slots or a seasoned player... Read More
Pyramid Solitaire is a fun solitaire game, with a very... Read More
In college they have trends and in the pros they... Read More
Baccarat - the game of the rich and famous -... Read More
This article is going to show you a new, unconventional... Read More
'Keno' is a well known game nowadays. It is frequently... Read More
The importance of taking notes on your opponents can't be... Read More
Pssst...! Wanna know a secret?How about the secret of the... Read More
Playing Poker online can be quite satisfying, and financially rewarding,... Read More
For most people, there are only two real reasons to... Read More
In this article I'd like to share with you the... Read More
Many players try to beat roulette by buying a "sure... Read More
With literally thousands of online casinos on the internet, it... Read More
First if you are tired, angry, drunk or your condition... Read More
The Texas Holdem poker phenomenon has taken the country by... Read More
I just spent three days in the land of milk... Read More
Casino & Gambling |