Trading Profitably on the Foreign Exchange Market

You may be asking yourself "how does one begin to trade profitably as a currency trader?".

First, it is important to closely monitor foreign equity markets to attempt to predict or model how their respective currencies will perform against other currencies, ideally, currencies that are not very closely related, nor proportional, to the former currency.

For example, Mexico's economy is closely linked the the U.S. economy, in some respects, but in other respects, they are not very directly proportional since Mexico's economy is currently improving as a consequence of increased consumer financing, an increased number of remittances from family members in the U.S., and other factors.

Back to our original point, when you begin to notice that an equity market is about to become bullish, it may be a signal that the currency of the country in which the equity market you're looking at is based may be about to rise. Conversely, if the market turns bearish, that may be a bad sign for the country's respective currency. Nevertheless, you may still be able to capitalize on bear markets and economies by short-selling a currency pair. That is one distinguishing feature in currency trading: you may bet against a country's economy (including your own!) by betting against that country's respective currency.

Other currency fundamentals to consider include a country's interest rates, deficit, exports and imports, as well as, and probably very importantly, oil prices. Look at how the recent OPEC meeting affected oil prices and how that in turn had a considerable effect on the DJIA.

Joshua M. Kunken is Currency Analyst for ForeignMarketWatch.com. His articles have been featured at ForexTrack.com.

In The News:


Foreign currency trading is as risky as it gets
Wall Street Journal - Jul 17, 2008
By JENNIFER WATERS The steep drop in the value of the dollar has many individual investors flirting with dipping into foreign currency trading in order to ...

HispanicBusiness.com

Yen Declines as JPMorgan Earnings Fuel Demand for Higher Yields
Bloomberg - Jul 17, 2008
... the problems with the financial sector are still present,'' said John McCarthy, director of currency trading at ING Financial Markets LLC in New York. ...
Update on major currencies Malaysia Star
Daily currency analysis - Jul 17 International Business Times
US dollar nears all-time low Sydney Morning Herald
Bloomberg - Bloombergall 671 news articles

CNNMoney.com

IBM profit tops targets, forecast up
guardian.co.uk, UK - Jul 17, 2008
Currency gains added 7 percentage points to the growth rate, IBM said. Analysts, on average, expected profit of $1.82 per share and revenue of $25.92 ...
IBM Strengthed By Global Growth, Services Forbes
IBM 2Q profit jumps 22 percent, beats forecast The Associated Press
IBM Beats Estimates (Update) TheStreet.com
New York Times - Investor's Business Daily (subscription)all 491 news articles

Church lashed on Olint
Jamaica Gleaner, Jamaica - Jul 16, 2008
Christians who placed their funds in Olint Corporation Ltd and other foreign currency trading-related investment schemes were naïve and foolish, ...

Wall Street pressured by oil volatility, techs
CNNMoney.com - 10 hours ago
(Full story) Dollar rises: In currency trading, the dollar rose slightly against the euro and yen, as inflation worries in the European Union - especially ...
CNNMoney.com- Blue chips rally, but techs tumble KAPP
CNNMoney.com- Huge rebound for Wall Street KVEW
Stocks rally for 2nd straight day CNNMoney.com
all 32 news articles

From the Wire
AlterNet, CA - 12 hours ago
Citigroup's results were helped by asset sales, lowered expenses, and record revenues in transaction services, interest rate and currency trading and ...

ABC News

Citigroup To Lead The Gains On Wall Street
AHN - 13 hours ago
In currency trading, the yen changed hands at 106.16 yen per US dollar in Asia. In late New York on late Thursday, the Japanese currency was at 105.23 yen ...
Australian market closes lower, led by resources RTT News
all 588 news articles

The Associated Press

Citigroup posts big loss
Independent, UK - 10 hours ago
Citigroup's results were helped by asset sales, moderating expenses, and record revenues in transaction services, interest rate and currency trading, ...
Citigroup, Inc. F2Q08 (Qtr End 6/30/08) Earnings Call Transcript Seeking Alpha
Citigroup plunges 95% amid continued pain in fixed income Financial News
all 458 news articles

Currency Trading Market Conditions Difficult, Can the Euro ...
Daily FX, NY - Jul 14, 2008
Currency trading markets have seen a major pickup in volatility through the past several days of trading, but relatively limited follow-through makes it ...

India's Rupee Has Second Winning Week as Crude Oil Declines
Bloomberg - 15 hours ago
``Oil has fallen quite a bit in recent days and that's helping the rupee,'' said Pradeep Khanna, head of currency trading at HSBC Holdings Plc in Mumbai. ...
Indian rupee climbs to three week peak, oil key Reuters India
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